Foresight 2018: systemic world conflicts and global forecast for XXI century

2018

Foresight 2018: systemic world conflicts and global forecast for XXI century

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The generalization and formalization of approaches to the recognition of C-waves of global systemic conflicts through big historical data have been carried out and general concept of description and interpretation of these waves has been proposed. On the basis of intellectual analysis of big data on the conflicts, taking place since 750 B.C. up to now, have been analyzed and their general pattern has been revealed. There has been made an attempt to foresee the next global conflict called the conflict of the XXI century. Its nature and main characteristics have been analyzed. The hypotheses for a metric relation between the global periodic processes, namely between the sequence of 11-year cycles of solar activity, so called Kondratieff cycles of the development of the global economy, and the process of evolutionary structuration of the family of the C-waves of global systemic conflicts have been formulated. There has also been made an attempt to predict these processes in the XXI century by using a metric approach. The possible scenarios of the development of the conflict of the XXI century have been constructed and analyzed. The research paper is designated to the scientists and experts in the field of national security, state administration and sustainable development.