Foresight: challenges to the energy independence of countries and regions of the world in the medium-term (until 2025) and long-term (until 2030) time horizons

2021

Foresight: challenges to the energy independence of countries and regions of the world in the medium-term (until 2025) and long-term (until 2030) time horizons

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The study analyzes the state of energy independence and its components for countries and regions of the world since the beginning of the 21st century by the calculation of a specially developed index. The changes that have taken place in the global markets of the world in recent years, that led tothe emergence and spread of the global energy crisis, are studied. The analysis of the real state of the energy sector of Ukraine as a fundamental component of the national economy and security is performed. The mechanism of deployment and consequences of the crisis for the economy and security of the EU and Ukraine is studied. possible economic and security threats to Ukraine are identified on this basis. The Delphi study of the main clusters of the energy sector of the country is conducted, the priority of the contribution of each of them to the overall growth of the economy and security of Ukraine is determined. Important characteristics of the Ukrainian energy sector in the medium-term (until 2025) and long-term (until 2030) time horizons are formulated. The complex of works on the foresight of possible scenarios for Ukrainian energy sector development, with which Ukraine would be able to ensure its energy independence, on the time horizons until 2025 and 2030 are fulfilled.